How We Can Better Predict Election Results Using Simple Statistics

Using Brexit Poll Data To Predict The Referendum Result

Abhinav Dholepat
5 min readJul 17, 2020

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Each election cycle, the public is treated to a slew of election polling. Conducted by a myriad of organizations, these polls attempt to represent public opinion regarding specific issues. Increasingly however, there has been a politicization of polls which have been placed in the same basket of “fake news”.

In fact, News agencies often cover how polls failed to predict the election result. With the…

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