Predicting The Election Outcome Using Bayesian Statistics

Abhinav Dholepat
Dialogue & Discourse
5 min readNov 2, 2020

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A Simple Model on R.

Joe Biden and Donald Trump

The 2020 US Presidential Election is this week and having decided to throw my hat in the prediction game, I have come up with a very simple model that will allow me to raise the confidence I have in my prediction compared to a mere guess. Through Bayesian Statistics, I have used previous US presidential election results in order to estimate the…

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